Start with the real context.
Fixtures, player availability, minutes, underlying attacking and defensive numbers, ownership and squad rules are combined for the current Gameweek.
FPL Prism is an independent decision-support project. It turns public FPL data into a range of plausible outcomes, then makes the trade-off behind a transfer easier to see.
Fixtures, player availability, minutes, underlying attacking and defensive numbers, ownership and squad rules are combined for the current Gameweek.
Each player receives an expected score plus a floor and ceiling. The model keeps the spread visible so a high average cannot hide a fragile pick.
Protecting a rank, holding a mini-league lead and chasing from behind call for different levels of variance. The same projections can be read through each lens.
The public Modelbook freezes deadline snapshots and compares them with official FPL points. You can inspect the average error, the misses and the original values.
FPL Prism is built to make probabilistic thinking practical for Fantasy Premier League. It has no affiliation with the Premier League and does not promise points or rank gains.