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LIVE MARKET TAPEPRICE RISENo confirmed risePRICE FALLNo confirmed fallTRANSFER FLOWLive feed pendingHAUL PROBABILITYModel pendingGAMEWEEK HIGHEST SCORER · Gameweek 5Live feed pending
LIVE FPL DECISION ENGINE

Know the risk
behind every move.

Import your squad, understand the model behind every player and compare transfers and chips before you commit.

Gameweek 5Model 1.3.0Core model active
ANALYZE YOUR SQUAD

Enter your FPL Team ID

Use the number at the end of your public FPL team URL.

✓
Every point, explainedSame model. Clearer decisions.
Your decision deskNext gameweek · FPL Prism
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PROJECTIONSFIXTURESREASONING
DECISION POSTURE

What are you playing for?

Use the same projections with a preference that matches your rank situation.

Blend expected points, uncertainty and fixture quality without leaning into either extreme.

LIVE MARKET

Best projections right now

Next-Gameweek xPts from the same engine used in Transfer Lab.

Explore a player to see the thinking behind their forecast.

MODEL SNAPSHOT

What the engine is reading

PLAYER ROLEExpected minutes

Starts, historical role and current availability set the playing-time foundation.

UNDERLYINGxG + xA

Player attacking rates are sample-size shrunk rather than extrapolated from short-term points.

FIXTURETeam + opponent

Home/away strength, xG/xGA, recent form, Elo and FDR shape each fixture context.

MARKET PRIOROptional

The sportsbook layer fails open: no market data means the core model is unchanged.